**Executive Summary**
The Birbal Sahni Institute of Palaeosciences (BSIP) conducted a study in Batseri, Kinnaur, Himachal Pradesh, analyzing Deodar tree rings to understand the relationship between climate, geohazards, and historical environmental conditions. The research reconstructed a 378-year moisture history and a 168-year rockfall activity record. The study highlights the impact of climate variability on geohazards and the need for improved risk assessment and mitigation strategies, particularly in light of increasing extreme weather events.
**Key Points / Main Content**
* **Study Overview:**
* Research conducted in Batseri, Kinnaur, Himachal Pradesh, using tree-ring analysis (dendroclimatology and dendrogeomorphology) of Deodar trees.
* Objective: to study the relationship between climate, geohazards, and historical environmental conditions.
* **Climate History Reconstruction:**
* Reconstructed a 378-year (1558-2021 CE) spring months' moisture history.
* Reconstructed a 168-year (1853-2021 CE) rockfall activity record.
* **Climate-Geohazard Connection:**
* Demonstrated a link between dry spring conditions and increased rockfall events, especially after 1960.
* Identified that spring moisture, influenced by Western Disturbances, significantly affects tree growth.
* Climate-induced ground instability due to spring drought conditions followed by intense summer monsoons increases vulnerability to geohazards.
* **Implications and Mitigation:**
* Highlights the critical role of climate variability in triggering geohazards.
* Emphasizes the need for forest management, monitoring, and early warning systems.
* Findings support sustainable land-use planning, improved resource management, and slope stability measures.
* **Publication Details:**
* Published in the journal *Catena*.
* Publication Link: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2025.108950
**Impact Analysis**
**Local Communities and Policymakers**
* **Impact:** Findings help in sustainable land-use planning, improving forest and water resource management, and implementing slope stability measures. The approach can reduce damage to infrastructure, protect livelihoods, and enhance disaster preparedness.
* **Action Required:** Utilise the research findings to inform sustainable land-use policies and implement measures to improve forest and water resource management and mitigate slope instability.
Key Entities Referenced
Birbal Sahni Institute of Palaeosciences (BSIP): Autonomous institute under the Department of Science and Technology (DST) that conducted the research on deodar trees.
Department of Science and Technology (DST): The autonomous institute BSIP operates under the DST.
Kinnaur: District in Himachal Pradesh, location of the study area (Batseri village) and the deodar trees studied.
Catena: The scientific journal where the study was published.
Ministry of Science & Technology
Deodhars in Kinnaur reveal a story of climate and
danger in the Himalayas
प्रव तथ: 10 DEC 2025 12:02PM by PIB Delhi
Deodhar trees in Batseri, a scenic village in Sangla valley on the Baspa River in Himachal Pradesh have
revealed a story of shift from wetter spring conditions during Little Ice Age (LIA) to progressive drier
conditions since after 1757 CE, with increased spring drought years in recent decades, buried in their
rings.
The study analyses the factors responsible for the geohazard activities enabling better prediction of future
hazard events to support early warning systems.
The increasing frequency of extreme climatic events, such as droughts and floods, and their strong
association with geohazards like landslides, glacial lake outburst flood (GLOFs), rockfalls and snow-
avalanches specially in the Himalayan region underscored the need for robust reconstructions of past
hydroclimatic variability and related geohazard episodes.
Tree-rings, which are layers of new wood that form each year, providing a record of the tree's age and past
environmental conditions act as natural archives to such climatic and geohazard events, offering the
potential to bridge this knowledge gap. The idea was further motivated by the absence of long-term high-
resolution records and need to understand the interactions between moisture variability and geohazard
dynamics from the Himalayan region.
A rockfall episode in July 2021 near village Batseri in Kunnaur, Himachal Pradesh, led The Birbal Sahni
Institute of Palaeosciences (BSIP), an autonomous institute of the Department of Science and Technology
(DST) to explore past climates using dating of annual growth layers in trees (dendroclimatology and
dendrogeomorphology).
Fig.1. Google Earth image and ground photographs from the study area Batseri, Kinnaur. (a) Red
dots indicate location of collected, rock fall-impacted Cedrus deodara trees from a hazard prone
slope (catchment area indicated with white lined area) opposite to Batseri village. The yellowcircle indicates the location of a bridge and a house damaged by a rockfall in July 2021. (b) View
on the rockfall prone slope and Deodar trees. (c) Damaged house and reconstructed bridge after
damage in July 2021.
They integrated dendroclimatology and dendrogeomorphology for future risk assessments and mitigation
strategies.
Tree-ring analysis of Deodar (Cedrus deodara) trees helped reconstruct a 378-year (1558-2021 CE) spring
months’ moisture history and a 168-year (1853-2021 CE) rockfall activity record at Batseri, Kinnaur,
Himachal Pradesh, western Himalayas.
The study showed that tree growth is highly sensitive to spring months’ (February to April) moisture,
primarily influenced by winter precipitation derived through Western Disturbances (WDs).
A total of 53 rockfall events, including 8 of high intensity, were linked to dry spring conditions, especially
after year 1960, indicating climate-induced ground instability. The spring drought conditions led to slopes
with poor vegetation cover, exposing them to vulnerability when the dry conditions are followed by the
intense summer monsoon rainfalls.
Fig. 2. (a-c) Photo of Batseri village located on a talus fan at the left bank of Baspa River. (d)
Examples of trees injured and broken by boulders. Pictures taken from the upper slope on the right
bank of Bapa River opposite to Batseri village.
The findings highlight the critical role of climate variability, driven by regional and global factors, in
triggering the geohazards, underscoring the need for forest management, monitoring, and early warning
systems.
This study published in the journal Catena, enhanced our understanding by providing insights on how
climate variability, specially the spring and pre-monsoon summer droughts trigger geohazards in the
vulnerable Himalayan regions.
Such findings help local communities and policymakers in planning sustainable land-use, improving forest
and water resource management and implementing slope stability measures.
This approach can reduce damage to infrastructure, protect livelihoods, and enhance disaster preparedness.
Moreover, such approach empowers communities to adapt to climate change and mitigate its impacts on
their environment and economy.
Publication Link: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2025.108950
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