The India Meteorological Department (IMD), Ministry of Earth Sciences, forecasts above-normal rainfall for the Southwest Monsoon season (June-September) 2025. The seasonal rainfall is predicted to be 106% of the Long Period Average (LPA), with a model error of 4%. Central India and the South Peninsular region are likely to experience above-normal rainfall, Northwest India is expected to have normal rainfall, while Northeast India is projected to receive below-normal rainfall. The Monsoon Core Zone (MCZ) is also forecasted to receive above-normal rainfall. For June 2025, countrywide rainfall is projected to be above normal (108% of LPA), with most areas receiving normal to above-normal rainfall except for certain parts of southern Peninsular India, Northwest, and Northeast India. Maximum temperatures are expected to be normal to below-normal across much of India, with above-normal temperatures in parts of Northwest and Northeast India. Minimum temperatures are likely to be above normal across most of the country, except for some regions of Central India and the southern Peninsula. The IMD will continue to monitor and update forecasts.
Key Entities Referenced
Ministry of Earth Sciences: The Indian government ministry responsible for the India Meteorological Department.
Indian Meteorological Department: Also referred to as IMD, the agency under the Ministry of Earth Sciences responsible for weather forecasting and related information.
2025: The year for which the Southwest Monsoon rainfall is being forecasted.
Southwest Monsoon: The seasonal monsoon that affects India, particularly from June to September.
June-September, 2025: The period for which the Long Range Forecast for the Southwest Monsoon seasonal rainfall is issued.
June 2025: The month for which monthly rainfall and temperature outlook are provided.
PIB Delhi: Press Information Bureau, Delhi - The source of the posted information.
Long-Range Forecast: The forecast issued by IMD for the Southwest Monsoon season.
Monthly Rainfall and Temperature Outlook: The outlook issued by IMD for rainfall and temperature for June 2025.
Long Period Average: Also referred to as LPA, it is the average rainfall over a long period, used as a benchmark.
Central India: A region in India where rainfall is likely to be above normal.
South Peninsular region: A region in India where rainfall is likely to be above normal.
Northwest India: A region in India expected to experience normal rainfall levels.
Northeast India: A region in India likely to receive below normal rainfall.
Monsoon Core Zone: Also referred to as MCZ, it covers much of India's rainfed agricultural land.
Kharif cropping season: The cropping season that benefits from the monsoon rains.
Northwest: Part of India expected to witness belownormal rainfall.
East India: Part of India expected to witness belownormal rainfall.
Peninsular region: Southern parts of Peninsular region expected to have belownormal rainfall
NKRPSM Release ID: 2131731: The release ID of the document.
Ministry of Earth Sciences
Indian Meteorological Department Forecasts Above-
Normal Southwest Monsoon Rainfall for 2025
IMD Issues Updated Long Range Forecast for the
Southwest Monsoon Seasonal Rainfall during
June–September, 2025 and Monthly Rainfall and
Temperature Outlook for June 2025
Posted On: 27 MAY 2025 7:19PM by PIB Delhi
The India Meteorological Department (IMD), under the Ministry of Earth Sciences, has issued its
updated Long-Range Forecast for the 2025 Southwest Monsoon season (June–September) along
with the Monthly Rainfall and Temperature Outlook for June 2025. According to the forecast, the
seasonal rainfall across the country as a whole is likely to be 106% of the Long Period Average
(LPA), with a model error of ±4%, indicating a high probability of above-normal rainfall during the
monsoon season.
Regionally, the rainfall is most likely to be above normal over Central India and the South
Peninsular region, while Northwest India is expected to experience normal rainfall levels
(ranging between 92-108% of LPA). In contrast, Northeast India is likely to receive below-
normal rainfall (<94% of LPA). The Monsoon Core Zone (MCZ), which covers much of India's
rainfed agricultural land, is also forecast to receive above-normal rainfall, providing a favorable
outlook for the Kharif cropping season.From June to September 2025, most regions of the country are expected to experience normal to
above-normal rainfall, except for parts of Northwest and East India, as well as many areas in
Northeast India, which are likely to witness below-normal rainfall.
Specifically for June 2025, the countrywide rainfall is projected to be above normal (>108% of
LPA). While most areas are likely to receive normal to above-normal rainfall, certain southern
parts of the Peninsular region, and parts of Northwest and Northeast India, are expected to have
below-normal rainfall.
On the temperature front, normal to below-normal maximum temperatures are likely across
much of India in June 2025, with above-normal maximum temperatures forecast for many
areas of Northwest and Northeast India. Furthermore, minimum temperatures are likely to
remain above normal across most of the country, except in some regions of Central India and
the adjoining southern Peninsula, where normal to below-normal minimum temperatures are
expected.
The IMD will continue to monitor and update forecasts to support planning in agriculture, water
resource management, and disaster preparedness. Further updates and detailed reports are
available on the official.
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NKR/PSM
(Release ID: 2131731)