Home India Ministry of Finance Monthly Summary for Cabinet August 2022...
Date: 2022-08-01 Category: Monthly Summary for Cabinet State: Union Government Country: India

Monthly Summary for Cabinet August 2022

Issued by Ministry of Finance · Department of Economic Affairs

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Executive Summary & Key Takeaways

**Executive Summary** This document is an office memorandum from the Government of India, Ministry of Finance, Department of Economic Affairs, dated October 10th, 2022. It circulates an unclassified monthly summary of important policy decisions pertaining to the Department of Economic Affairs for August 2022. It does not mention any key deadlines or action items in relation to the recipients of the memorandum. **Key Points / Main Content** * **Macroeconomic Overview (August 2022):** * India became the world's fifth-largest economy due to strong economic growth in Q1 of 2022-23. * Real GDP in Q1 of 2022-23 is nearly 4% ahead of the corresponding level of 2019-20. * The contact-intensive services sector is likely to drive growth in 2022-23. * Increased private consumption and high capacity utilization reinvigorated the capex cycle. * Government capital expenditure until August 2022-23 was 35% higher than the previous year. * Broad-based economic growth is reflected in improved employment indicators, with net payroll additions doubling in Q1 2022-23. * Unemployment rate in urban areas shrunk to 7.6% in Q1 2022-23, below pre-pandemic levels. * Work demanded under MGNREGS was at its lowest in August 2022 compared to the prior two years. * The growth momentum of Q1 sustained into Q2 with robust performance of high-frequency indicators. * The composite PMI for India rose to 58.2 in August 2022. * India's economic growth and employment levels are reflected in the country's position in the external sector. * High foreign exchange reserves, sustained foreign direct investment, and strong export earnings have provided a reasonable buffer. * Inflationary pressures in India are likely to subside as external pressures ease, with decline in CPI-C and WPI inflation since April 2022. * India's growth has been robust and inflation in control. * A rapid coverage of vaccination and well-calibrated short-term policy measures have skillfully navigated the economy through turbulent times. * **Important Developments:** * All cotton futures contracts on the Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd were suspended for a month effective August 29th, 2022. * Loan/grant agreements signed with multilateral and bilateral development agencies: * USD 96.3 million loan from Asian Development Bank for Himachal Pradesh Rural Drinking Water Improvement and Livelihood Project. * USD 190 million loan from the World Bank for Second Tamil Nadu Housing Sector Strengthening-DPL. * Euro 20 million grant from KFW-German Development Bank for 'Municipal Infrastructure Development Project in Tamil Nadu. * Negotiated a loan agreement for USD 350 million with the World Bank for a health sector project. * Lines of credit approved during the month: * USD 100 million to the Government of Maldives for financing development projects. * USD 100 million to the Government of Armenia for Defence related projects and other purposes. * Meetings at the official level were held or attended: * 131st meeting of the Screening Committee for consideration of proposals seeking financing from Multilateral Development Banks/Bilateral Agencies. * Meeting with the World Bank to review the pipeline projects preparation. * Meeting of Financial Stability Board (FSB)'s Working Group on Climate Risk (WGCR) to discuss draft final report on supervisory and regulatory approaches to climate-related risks. * 4th round of discussion between India and Saudi Arabia on Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT). * Preliminary discussion on Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT) between India and Uruguay. * 6th Round of negotiations between India and UK on Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT)/Investment Chapter. * Discussion with Canada on Bilateral Investment Promotion and Protection Agreement (BIPA). * 42nd Empowered Committee (EC) meeting to consider proposal of Govt. of UP for setting up of medical college in the six districts of UP under PPP mode. * Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) Board of Directors meeting to consider investment operations & investment operations quarterly monitoring report/pipeline update. * **Minimum Government, Maximum Governance:** * The use of ICT in submission of information is being encouraged. * **Non-Compliance of ACC directions/orders:** * ACC appointment of Shri Ananth Narayan Gopalakrishnan as Whole Time Member, SEBI - Notification effecting the appointment is underway. * **FDI Proposals:** * Number of proposals cleared: Nil * Awaiting Approval in the Department: 07 **Impact Analysis** **All recipients listed in the “To” section of the document:** * **Impact:** The individuals and entities listed are informed of the important policy decisions and macroeconomic overview for the Department of Economic Affairs for August 2022. * **Action Required:** No specific action required as this is for informational purposes.

Key Entities Referenced

Department of Economic Affairs (DEA): Primary subject of the monthly summary on important policy decisions. Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT): Treaty under discussion between India and other countries. NITI Aayog: Mentioned as recipient of the Office Memorandum. Screening Committee: Committee that considers proposals for financing from Multilateral Development Banks/Bilateral Agencies Tamil Nadu: Location of projects funded by the World Bank and KFW-German Development Bank.
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No. A-45O 1 1 / 3 | 2o22 - Admll.llr Government of India MinistrY of Finance (Department of Economic Affairs) *** New Delhi, 10s October 2O22 OFFICE MEMORANDUM The undersigned is directed to circulate herewith the unclassified portion of MonthlY Summary on important policy decisions in respect of Department of Economic Affairs lbr the Month of August, 2022. t tL lo I './ (Ravinder Kumar) Director(Ad.IV & Coordination) Tel No. 2309-5244 To 1. Members of the Union Council of Ministers' Government of India' A11 New Delhi. 2. Vi,." Chu.i.*rn, Niti Aayog, Yojna Bhawan' New Delhi' 3. Cabinet Secretary, Cabini't Seiretariat' Rashtrapati Bhavan' New Delhi. 4. Secretary to the President of India, Rashtrapati Bhavan' New Delhi' 5. Secretary to tire Vlcelpresident of india' 6' Maulana Azad Road' New Delhi. 6. Principal Secretary to the Prime Minister' PMO' South Block' New Delhi 7. Chairman, Union I']ublic Service Commission' Dholpur House' New Delhi. 8. eti vt.-U.." of Niti Aayog, Yojna Bhawan' New Delhi' g. Secretaries to all the triinlstriesT Oepartments, Government of India' New Delhi. .Fa\ D.cr l0.PStoMOS(F),PPStoFinanceSecretary'PPStoSecretary(EA)'PPS to Secretary (Revenue), PPS to Secretary (Expenditure)' PPS to Secretary (DIPAM). Shri V. Anantha Nageswaran, Chief Economic Adviser' DEA' 11. Rashtrapati Bhavan' New iiai,il""i S"c.etaryl Cabinet'secretariat' 12. Delhi. 13. Shri Manoj SahaY, AS&FA(Finance)' ,IA fti".-ft4""i"ir" Sinha, AS(Admn', C&C and OMI) ;il Fi;;J" of Divisions in Department of Economic Affairs' 15. iSdriVl.i*rl !sgnv1 /;slbudget) / All Advisers/ cAAA sliTni."i, Maihotra, bc titaacl, M7o Fit'tt'tt' North Block' New 16. Delhi' 17. Guard File - 2022'lll No. A-45O11/ 312O22'Adtro,o" MinistrY of Finance Affairs DePartment of Economic to policy decisions Pertairing on important Monthly Summary Subject: fo" the month of August' 2O22 of ocono'nil-Ot*"" 1Oeel Department ts during I. Important policy decisions taken and major achievemel the month: Overview: Macroeconomic uponrecoveryr:::",?3^y?;3,x?i.?"r9i1"",:!t*.1:1,!!I"ii[rlri ffi :l1li; ii'i::l H"-ri ffi ':'i "* :; fJ :H"'["J :,.= of. , 2l 0, 1: 9? -2, 0? ' 'I thfi u ] s "mJ arking a str" o ng n i]e Ea iir tl iv ., .4 n % i" a t-h .'oe ia u'd " go 't o i *t t" n ll ;' ''" iu' sJ el 'p t r vo l in c'n et" n sii "n s pi e" oi cl tv tt o-e p rt a in sd le ikm ei lc v p toha ds re i' ve growth in 2022-23 The contaclintensive :lf:tfu ::i. i;;;i;;:{ ,rl}::-::U*:ffi :S[lf: I3::i ffi b u d n s o-n lff m';:f'],n :".T il'#x.o*l ;il ;;;';n i n tn u m o nih s a h ead and higher' capacity utilization in the current lncrease in private consumption rate in o1 of reinvigo;;",#:;;"x cycte-to,tr[J]rr"'inu".tment vear has further 2022-23tooneofitsnigil:.ii","r.i"tn.itastoecaaeThecrowdinogf -thineo gfpovrievranmteent investment has also o""ll' #7 "" .t ' #itt ;" i-u i6y Vri "s i rn ,ig "g c .'a "ip ti tta ul n*J x itp l"e nditure level of last that untit August 2022-2a "ott"sponding "i1:1*l; v [*e ra "r ; G ;l;o vernm"nt'' 'p gu rn ow'J ti hn gis" l e" x" p"a eci" tr e d to rema J:Jl[:X"i""i:."tX'J'["::':: *." 'evenue Q1 of 2022-23is refrected in :[".-"r::::tJii,Ln eco-nomic in EPFo doubled in '" inJo",or.".] itYt'".ttv ^p1"y.Y^r:oi"tst 'rJoitions improvements in "*pro,yo."'inr,i" .oro.ponding perioj iJ y"r, The Periodic Labour ai.zozz_zlcompared iq lffi J'irtir ll: F fo o u rc rte h s c u o r nv se ey c ut p t ir v. r e s q r u s a i ro tl eJ r Io De at q '" J ., i ; / u" tr',t" , f, O 1 ,, n Oet M- G1 Nt: Ri E"# GS" hi. a : s" J b een J::",ltiffi zo2i compa red to the imrmg x.::",ril' :ru" ll;'g';i possible reduction in the iitJpi"ulo" two years' period ot "ign'li;t" corresponding ,n"tnifoY,"nt rate in rural areas' t susg::#t:i:lr"r',?;':"3'ffi [tl'] rhe srowth m omentum of Q h as' fg::}ilT*"!il? ill",:::l :: J: if i#'\i lli6'[i i s s n a t t i n g r s h a rp ',"J,T' "" pace2 of expansion. However, in contrast, the Global composite PMI has entered the contractionary phase declining to 49.3 in August 2022 with slowdown mainly evident in advanced economies. The relatively bright outlook on lndia's economic groMh and its improving employment levels is also mirrored in the country's relatively strong position in the e)dernal sector. High foreign exchange reserves, sustained foreign direct investment, and strong export earnings have provided a reasonable buffer against the monetary policy normalization in advanced economies and widening of current account deficit arising from the geo-political conflict. lnflation has been a common phenomenon across both advanced economies (AE) and emerging market economies (EME). However, the triggers for the two have been somewhat different, which also explains why inflationary pressures in AEs have been stubborn and pre-date the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The extraordinary measures adopted by AEs in response to the COVID-19 outbreak involved a significant injection of liquidity by the central banks of these countries which financed their massive fiscal package. Now, as the monetary authorities of the AEs rush to cap inflation and grapple with a liquidity overhang, they face an unenviable task of absorbing excess liquidity in a calibrated manner. lndia is in a better position to calibrate its liquidity levels without abruptly stalling growth. While persistently high liquidity may partly explain the stubbornness of inflation in AEs, inflation in lndia, a net commodity-importing country, has been a by- product of externally situated exogenous pressures. lncrease in international prices was reflected in an uptick in domestic prices, though increase in domestic prices was relatively modest on account of the timely interventions taken by the government. Further, as these external pressures ease, inflationary pressures in lndia are also likely to subside. several indicators are already pointing to the easing of external pressures. lndustrial metals and edible oil prices after peaking in March 2022, have softened, led by recessionary fears in AEs. Crude prices have dropped 1g.1 o/o by August since the peak in the month of June 2022. supply chains are getting restored with decline in port congestion. The impact is already reflected in the decline in cpl- c and wPl inflation since April 2022. cPl-c inflation stood at 7 % in August 2022 as compared to 7 .8 o/o in April 2022. Similarly, WPI lnflation has dropped from 15.4 % in April to 12.4 o/o in August. Overall, inflationary pressures in lndia appear to be on a decline with a pre-emptive set of administrative measures by the government, agile monetary policy and easing of international commodity prices and supply-chain bottlenecks. In times when slowing growth and high Inflation are afflicting most of the major economies of the world, lndia's growth has been robust and inflation in control. A rapid coverage of vaccination and well-calibrated short-term policy measures have skilfully navigated the economy through turbulent times, preparing a strong foundation to build a prosperous nation in the years ahead. Downside risks to growth will persist insofar as lndia is integrated with the rest of the world. Nor is there room for complacency on the inflation front as lower crops- sowing for the Kharif season calls for deft management of stocks of agricultural commodities and market prices without unduly jeopardising farm exports. Further as balance sheets of Fed starts shrinking, it may heiald a new phase of risk aversion in3 flows ln addition' lndia's imports are global capital caoital markets, impeding will have to be accorded $'"'"to'3'"tl#n"iig'ihem growing faster and, #il";ft;i"".1"d "o'nt"rtably on energv securrtv rn hiqh prioritv ln wrnter g""oporiticall l tt e" nfi s'] io:n nsa , l tf eo sc tiu ngs lndia's astute handling ad]vanced nations could "r"uuiu. of its energY needs so far' and credible monetary policy will r oe om rica vin W w ea is ,st c eeh nnf atu ia bl t r a etn o bd r e tp n nr ou cid a he l mn ot ;tf r'i r ks tic 1ra " ;i rl i t ;m ;g a*a i nt "n l ;a if ig ch pe o ' m isa "t te s s epn 't :t i or -a r 1 t ti *ho "en Js ;o ioB Tvo ,e it lh r 'n J t mh 'Je e lns Je t ' L ap 1nill 'da : ir rts h " "eo ; f ? pp r :iu 'v ,b :a :l ti iec !".ij, to decrine tacrritatiig'iJii' :ll' * i:; m g"J:"H, :"J.$ ?L ::f 5, lJ ::J::",f-' il * i u i' io i'o p a n d c red it rating of lndia to imProve lmportant DeveloPments : 2 (i) All cotton futures contracts on the Multi Commodit iy o nE tx rach ca t n sg pe e co iff i cl an td ioia n sL td w e t to' were suspendeo 'o'iti't;;;;;ii'";J '"vise " 29th August 2022' were signed with multilateral and bilateral (ii) Following loan/grant agreements agencles' develoPment (a) Loan of USD 96 3 million from th.e Asian Developm ane dn t LB iva en lihk o f oo dr iiiitrti"g water lmprovement Himachal Pradesrr"Ru;;i Project' ( \vb ,) , Loan of USD 190 million from the.World Bank for Second Tamil Nadu Hou.ingSectorstrengthening-DPL Development Bank for (c) Grant of Euro 20 million from KFW-Ger Pm ra on je ct in Tamil Nadu 'Municipal r "t'"t't"ti'?'o"'"roprn"nt was negotiated with the for USD 359 ln addition, a t olo 'a n a ng ere jie .lm "le en ct toi pioiect' Sy' -] sll tr eo mn s Reform Endeavours tor World Bank ' aJnjevJ'""t iii Gujarat (SRESTHA-G)' Transformed Heartn (iii) Following line of credit were approved during this month' (a) USD 100 million to Government of Maldives for financing development projects. (b) USD 1OO million to Government of Armenia for Defence related projects and other Purposes' (iv) Following meetings at the ofiicial level were held or attended' rirst meeting " 111-::.';1]ffi fi:ilfli:ffi 5:,"::1il*'i'L?-:1 (a) proposals seeking financ Bilateral Agencies cts preparation MeetingwiththeWorldBanktoreviewthepipelinepro;e (b)4 (c) Meeting of Financial Stability Board (FSB)'s Working Group on Climate Risk (WGCR) to discuss draft final report on supervisory and regulatory approaches to climate-related risks (d) 4th round of discussion between lndia and Saudi Arabia on Bilateral lnvestment Treaty (BlT) (e) Preliminary discussion on Bilateral lnvestment Treaty (BlT) between lndia and Uruguay (0 6th Round of negotiations between lndia and UK on Bilateral nvestment Treaty (BlT)/l nvestment Chapter I (g) Discussion with Canada on Bilateral lnvestment promotion and Protection Agreement (BIPA) (h) 42nd Empowered Committee (EC) meeting to consider proposal of Govt. of UP for setting up of medical college in the six districts of Up under PPP mode (i) Asian lnfrastructure lnvestment Bank (AllB) Board of Directors meeting to consider investment operations & investment operations quarterly monitoring reporVpipeline update. 3 Minimum Government, Maximum Governance The use of ICT in submission of information is being encouraged. 4. Non-Compliance of ACC directions/orders ACC appointment of Shri Ananth Narayan Gopalakrishnan as Whole Time Member, SEBI - Notification effecting the appointment is underway. 5. Details of FDI proposals cleared during the month and status of FDI proposals awaiting approval in the Department: Number of proposals cleared Nit Awaiting Approval in the Department 07

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