**Executive Summary**
This document is an office memorandum circulating the unclassified portion of the Monthly Summary on important policy decisions of the Department of Economic Affairs (DEA) for February 2024. It includes macroeconomic overview, key meetings, signed loan agreements, discussions at the IMF, and status of various projects/proposals, providing a snapshot of the DEA's activities. There are no specific deadlines or action items highlighted for any specific department in the letter.
**Key Points / Main Content**
* **Macroeconomic Overview:**
* India's real GDP growth is projected at 7.6% for FY24, higher than the initial estimate.
* Poverty is estimated to have decreased to 5%, indicating increased prosperity in both rural and urban areas.
* Retail inflation declined to 5.1% in January 2024.
* The fiscal deficit was 63.6% of revised estimates, lower than the previous year.
* Merchandise exports and imports contracted, leading to a narrower trade deficit.
* FDI moderated by 41.2% due to increased repatriations.
* **Important Developments & Meetings:**
* The Finance Minister chaired the 28th meeting of the Financial Stability and Development Council (FSDC) on February 21st, 2024.
* Finance Minister met with World Bank officials on February 21st, 2024.
* India-UAE signed a Bilateral Investment Treaty on February 13th, 2024.
* G20 Finance Track Meetings were held under the Brazil Presidency in February 2024, including Sustainable Finance Working Group and Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors meetings.
* BRICS Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors meeting was held on February 27th, 2024.
* NDB Board of Governors met to discuss resuming loans to Russia.
* **Loan Agreements:**
* Several loan agreements were signed with Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) for various projects, including:
* Rajasthan Climate Resilience Enhancement and Ecosystem Services Improvement Project
* Uttarakhand Urban Water Supply Project
* Creation of Horticulture Value Chain in Haryana
* Establishment of Nagaland Medical College Hospital
* Telangana Social and Grassroot Innovation Project
* North East Road Network Connectivity Improvement Project
* Construction of Chennai Peripheral Ring Road
* Dedicated Freight Corridor Project
* Loans were signed with the World Bank for:
* Integrated Service Provision and Innovation for Reviving Economies Operation
* Bihar Integrated Water Resources Management Project
* A loan was signed with the Asian Development Bank for:
* Climate Resilient Brahmaputra Integrated Flood and Riverbank Erosion Risk Management Project in Assam
* Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) signed a contract of guarantee with MUFG Bank for USD 100 million with DFCCIL.
* **Other Key Information:**
* Discussions were held at the Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
* A commemorative coin was issued.
* The use of ICT in submission of information is being encouraged.
* Details of FDI and VGF proposals cleared/approved during February 2024 are provided.
**Impact Analysis**
**All Ministries/Departments, Government of India**
* **Impact:** Receive information on important policy decisions and macroeconomic indicators related to the Department of Economic Affairs.
* **Action Required:** Review the information provided for awareness and potential implications for their respective areas of responsibility.
**Department of Economic Affairs (DEA)**
* **Impact:** The summary reflects the department's performance and key activities during February 2024.
* **Action Required:** None explicitly stated, but the document serves as a record and basis for further actions and reporting.
Key Entities Referenced
Ministry of Finance (Department of Economic Affairs): The primary subject of the office memorandum, responsible for the policy decisions discussed in the document.
Financial Stability and Development Council (FSDC): Forum for discussion and action on financial stability.
G20: The document details Finance Track Meetings under the G20 Brazil Presidency, outlining key discussions on sustainable finance and finance ministers meetings.
BRICS: The document details the first BRICS Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors (FMCBG) meeting under the Russian chairmanship, related to financial cooperation agenda.
Indian Development and Economic Assistance Scheme (IDEAS): A scheme related to restructuring of LOCs, their provisioning requirement, continuation of disbursements and other LOC related matters
A-45O 1 1 / 03/ 2O24-Cootd,.ll
Government of India
Ministry of Flnance
(Department of Economlc Alfairsl
***
New Delhi, O5th Apr:,l, 2024
OFFICE MEMORANDUM
The undersigned is directed to circulate herewith the unclassified
portion of Monthly Summary on important policy decisio s in respect of
Department of Economic Affairs for the Month of February, 024
usruta
S
Deputy Secretary to the t of Inida
Te1 No. 2309- 5244
To
1.
A11 Members of the Union Council of Ministers, Gove ent of India,
New Delhi.
2 Vice Chairman, Niti Aayog, Yojna Bhawan, New Delh
a Cabinet Secretary, Cabinet Secretariat, Rashtrapatr havan, New Delhi.
4 Secretary to the President of India, Rashtrapati B , New Delhi.
5 Secretary to ttre Vice-President of India, 6, Maulana a\zad Road, New
Delhi.
6 Principal Secretary to the Prime Minister, PMO, South Block, New Delhi
7 Chairman, Union Public Service Commission, Dholp{rr House, New
Delhi.
8 AII Members of Niti Aayog, Yojna Bhawan, New Delhi.
9 Secretaries to all the Ministries/Departments, Government of India,
New Delhi.
10. PS to MOS (F), PPS to Finance Secretary, PPS to Secretary (EA), PPS to
Secretary (Revenue), PPS to Secretary (Expenditure), PPS to Secretary
(DTPAM).
11. Shri V. Anantha Nageswaral, Chief Economic Adviser, DEA.
12. Additional Secretar5z, Cabinet Secretariat, Rashtrapati Bhavan, New
De1hi.
13. Shri Manoj Sahay, AS&FA(Finance).14. Ms. Aparna Bhatia, Advisor(Admn./Coord./ C&C
)
15. Ms. Marisha Sinha, AS(OMI/Crypto assets ald Fund Bank)
16. A11 Heads of Divisions in Department of Economic Affairs.
JS(IPP/JsqSD) /JS(lnv) /JS(Budget)JS(FM)/A11 Advisers/ CAAA
t7. Shri Rajesh Malhotra, DG (M&C), M/o Finance, North Block, New
Delhi.
18. Guard Fiie - 2024.A-45O 1 1 /03/ 2O24-Coot d,ll
Government of India
Minlstry of Flnance
(Department of Economlc Alfalrsl
Subject: Monthly Summary on important pollcy declslons pertalning to
Department of Economlc Alfalrs (DEA) for the month of February, 2O24.
Important pollcy decisions taken and major achievements during
1
the month:
Macroeconomic Overview:
Second Advance Estimates of National Accounts proJects India's real
GDP growth at 7.6 per cent for Flnanclal Yeer 2O23-24 lFV24l. This is
higher than the 7.3 per cent growth projected by the NSO in the first Advance
Estimates released in Januar5r, 2O24. Stronger growth in the third quarter (Q3;
at 8.4 per cent) has increased the full-year real GDP growth in FY24. Following
the release of the December 2023 quarter GDP data, several professional
forecasters have revised their GDP growth projections for FY25. State Bank of
India revised its growth projection to 8 per cent, compared to 7 per cent in its
previous estimate. Simiiarly, Barclays raised their projection from 6.5 per cent
to 7 per cent.
The NITI Aayog estimates that, as per the Household Consumptlon
Expendifire Surueg (HCES) for August 2022 to Jnlg 2023, poverty has
come down to five per cent, lndlcating that people are becomlng more
prosperoua both ln rural and urban areas. The HCES highlights that monthly
per capita household consumption expenditure (MPCE) more thal doubled in
2022-23 as compared to.2Ol7-12. The average estimated MPCE in 2022-23
stands at 13,773 in, rural India and t6,459 in urban India. This decline in
poverty is attributed to government programmes targeted at those at the bottom
of the pyramid.
Retail lnflation decllned to a three-month low of 5.1 per cent ln
January, 2024. The falt in inflation in January, 2024 rs due to both the food
and core (non-food, non-fuel) components. Core inflation continued to deciine
for the eighth consecutive month, from 5.2 per cent in May, 2023 to 3.5 per
cent in January, 2024. Food inflation declined compared to the previous two
months but has still to come down further. Most food items saw a decline ininflation in Jaluary, 2024. OveraJl, inflationary pressures moderated in the
frrst lO months of FY24, with retail inflation easing to 5.4 per cent, compared to
6.8 per cent in the same period of FY23.
The flscal deficit ofthe central government was 63.6 per cent ofthe
revlsed estimates (RE) during Aptil 2O23 - January 2024, lowet than 67.8
per cent of RE durlng the correspondlng perlod of the prevlous year. This
improvement is on account of higher-than-budgeted growth in tax collections
and improvement in quality of spending in the first three quarters of the year.
Buoyant tax revenues hhve helped the government accommodate higher
expenditure amid supply-side volatilities. Overall, gross tax revenue grew at
14.6 per cent over last year. Capital spending increased by 26.5 per cent YoY in
the period April, 23 - January, 24 compared to 29 per cent in the
corresponding pe-iod of the previous year. The ratio of revenue expenditure to
capital outlay feI1 from 6 in FY21 to 3.7 in FY24 (April, 23 - Jantwy,241.
Durlng the flrst ten months of FY24, India's merchandise exports
and imports contracted by 4.9 per cent and 6.7 per cent, respectively,
leadlng to a narrowing of the merchandise trade deficit. The merchandise
trade deficit reduced from USD 229.4 billnor. from April'22-Janttary'23 to USD
2O7.2 billd.on in April'23 - Jan:uary'24. Classification across mztjor commodity
groups showcases that exports have declined broad-based across all categories,
except electronic goods. The net service trade during frrst ten nronths ol F\24
increased by 16.5 per cent. Accordingly, India's overall trade deficit
(Merchandise and Services combined) declined from USD 112 biiiion during the
first ten months of FY23 to USD 70.4 billion in the corresponding period of
FY24. In an effort to boost India's exports, the Government has reduced import
duty on parts used to manufacture mobile phones from 15 pel cent to 10 per
cent.
The forelgn direct investment (FDI| into India during FY24 have
been the guided by repatriations, along wlth global FDI trends. As per the
latest available data from the RBI, direct investments to Indi.r moderated by
41.2 per cent during April-December, 2023, owing to a sharp growth in
repatriations by 41.5 per cent during the period.
2.
Important Developments:
(i) Honble Finance Minister chaired the 28th meefing of the Financial
Stabttity and Development Council (F.SDC) on 21s, Februar5z, 2024at Nev/ Delhi. The meeting was also attended by Union Minister of
State for Finance, Members of FSDC, Secretary (EA), Chief Economic
Adviser and Senior Adviser / Secretary (FSDC).
(ii) Hon'ble Finance Minister met Ms. Anna Bjerde, Managing Director
(Operations), World Bank and Ms. Anshula Kant, Managing Director
and World Bank Group Chief Financial Officer on 21st Februar5r,
2024.
(iii) India-UAE signed a Bilateral Investment Treaty on 13s February,
2024.
(iv) The following Finance Track Meetlngs under G2O Brazll
Presldency were held during February, 2024:
a) The llrst meetlng of the G2O Sustalnable Flnance Worklng
Gtoup (SFtrIGl under the Brazilian Presidency was held virtually
on 05t'- 06th February, 2o24.
b) The flrst G2O Flnance Mlnisters and Central Bank Governors
(FMCBGI meetlng was held on 28u - 29th February, 2024 in Sao
Paulo, Brazil. The Ministry of Finance delegation was led by Dr.
V. Anantha Nageswaran, Chief Economic Adviser and Reserve
Bank of India delegation was led by Dr Michael Patra, Deputy
Governor.
c)
The FMCBG meeting was preceded by the Second G20 Finance
and Central Bank Deputies Meeting on 26tt - 27th February,
2024 to draft a Communiqu6 of FMCBG.
d) On the sidelines of G2O FMCBG meeting, the flrst BRICS
FMCBG meeting under the Russian chairmanship of BRICS was
held on 27tt February, 2024 atd discussions were held on the
priorities proposed by ttre Russial Chair for 2024 under the
BRICS Financial Cooperation Agenda.
e) NDB Board of Governors a.lso met in a Special meeting in Sao
Paulo on 27tt February, 2024, at the Side-lines of G20 FMCBG
meeting. The special meeting of the Board of Governors of the
New Development Bank was held to discuss the issue of
resumption of the disbursement of loans to Russia which have
been kept on hold since sanctions were imposed on Russia.
(v) The following important meetings were held/attended at the oflicia-l
level:a) The first BRICS Finance and Central Bank Deputles (FCBD)
meeting under Russian chairmanship was held virtually on Ttit
February, 2024 ar-d discussion were held on the priorities altd
deliverables of financial cooperation under Russian Chair.
b)
The 47th Session of IFAD Governing Council was held on 14ur -
15" February, 2024 at Rome, Italy.
c) The 113tt meeting of PPP Appraisal Committee (PPPACI was
held on 16ti, February, 2024 to consider proposals of i) Northern
Bypass (NAM) and Southern Ayodhya Bypass (SAB) in Uttar
Pradesh; ii) Guwahati Ring Road in Assam.
d)
The 114th meeting of PPPAC was held on 21"t Februar5r, 2024 to
consider proposal of i) Agra-Gwalior Highway; ii) Border-Gumla-
Bharda section as part of Raipur-Dhanbad Economic corridor; iii)
4- lane access-controlled economic corridor from Kharagpur to
Moregram section.
e) Indla-Uruguay BIT negotiatlons were held virt-ually on 20th
February,2024.
f) Indta-TaJtklstan BIT negotlations were held virtually on 28th -
29*' Febntary, 2024.
d Secretary Economic Affairs met Mr Jochen Flasbarth, State
Secretary, German Ministry of Economic Cooperation and
De'"elopment (BMZ) on 26th Februely , 2024 to discuss the
preparatory steps envisaged for the Leaders level India-Germaly
Inter-Governmental Consultations, scheduled to be held this year
in India.
h) Workshop on PPP structurlng Toolktt - Water & Sanltation
Sector was held on 26tt - 27*, February, 2024 at New Delhi.
i) The 146tt meeting of Screening Committee on Externally
Aided projects was held on 28th February, 2O24.
j)
Th. 40th meeting of the Early Warnlng Group (EWG) of IMF was
held virtually on 29.h Februaqr, 2024 w}rerein methodologies to
improve the Early Warning Index, developments relating to
frnancia.l section etc. were discussed.
k)
Meeting of Inter-Ministerial Standlng Committee (IMSC) on
Lines of Credit (LOCsl under Indian Development andEconomlc Assistance Scheme IIDEASI was held on 261*t
February, 2024 lo discuss about restructured LOCs, their
provisioning requirement, continuation of disbursements and
other LOC related matters.
(vi)
The following loan agreements were signed with the bilateral and
multilateral development agencies:
a) Loans sigrred with Japan Intemational Cooperation Agency
(JrcA):
i.
Rajasthan Climate Resilience Enhancement and Ecosystem
Services Improvement Project of JPY 26. 133 bilton.
ii. Uttarakhand Urban Water Supply Project of JPY 16.211
billion.
iii. Creation of Horticulture Value Chain in Haryana of JPY
16.215 billion.
iv.
Establishment of Nagaland Medical College Hospital of JPY
1O.OO8 billion.
v.
Telangana Social and Grassroot Innovation Froject of JPY
23.697 billion.
vi. North East Road Network Connectivity Improvement
Project: Phase VII (Meghalaya NH127R) of JPY 15.561
billion.
vii.
North East Road Network Connectivity Improvement Project':
Phase-3 (Tranche-Il) of JPY 34.537 billion.
viii. Construction of Chennai Periphera-l Ring Road: Phase 2 of
JPY 49.847 billion.
ix.
Dedicated Freight Corridor Project: Phase- 1 (Tranche 5) of
JPY 40.000 billion.
:
b) Bank:
Loans signed with World
i. Integrated Service Provision and Innovation for Reviving
Economies Operation for USD 1OO million.
ii. Bihar Integrated Water Resources Management Project
(BIWRMP) for USD 386.31 million.
c)
Loan signed with Asian Development Bank:I Climate Resilient Brahmaputra Integrated Flood and
Riverbank Erosion Risk Management Project in Assam for
USD 2OO million.
d)
Multilatera-l Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) signed the
contract of guarantee with MUFG Bank for USD 1OO million with
DFCCIL.
(vii) The following important issues were discussed at the Executive Board of
Internatlonal Monetary Fund (IMF):
a) Regular Eiections of Executive Directors;
b) IMF's work on Climate Finance;
c) New Membership of Liechtenstein.
(viii) The following Notilication were lssued during the month
a) Commemorative Coin of denomination of t 100/- to celebrate 2550tt'
Nirvan Mahotsav of Bhagwan Mahaveer.
3 Minimum Government, Maximum Governance
'J'he use of ICT in submission of information is being enccuraged
4, Non-Compliance of ACC dlrections/orders: NIL
5 Details of FDI proposals cleared during the month and status of FDI
proposals awaitlng approval ln the Departnrent:
cleared :
Number of proposals 02
Department :
Awaiting Approval in the 11
6. Number of VGF projects cleared/approved during February, 2O24:
Five projects.
7. Number of PPPAC projects cleared/approved during February, 2O24:
NIL.
8. LOCs recommended under Indian Development and Economic
Assistance Scheme (IDEAS) during February, 2024: NIL
9 Number of Externally Aided Projects cleared by the DEA's Screening
Committee during February, 2O24': 06