**Executive Summary**
This document provides the answer to Unstarred Question No. 1138 in Lok Sabha, concerning the exhaustion of fossil fuels, scheduled to be answered on 05/02/2026. It details the government's assessment of oil and gas reserves, awareness of potential economic and energy security implications, and strategies to mitigate fossil fuel exhaustion. The information is based on the Petroleum Reserve Management System (PRMS).
**Key Points / Main Content**
* **Reserve Assessment:**
* The Directorate General of Hydrocarbons calculates the reserve status of Oil & Gas in India using PRMS.
* As of April 1, 2025, the Reserve/Production (R/P) ratio for crude oil is approximately 15 years, and for natural gas, it is approximately 17 years.
* The R/P ratio indicates the number of years current reserves would last at the current rate of use, but the values are indicative only due to ongoing exploration.
* **Economic and Energy Security:**
* The government is aware of the economic and energy security issues associated with phasing out fossil fuels, including the need for high initial investments in renewable energy.
* Strategies include shifting to domestic renewable sources like solar, wind, and bioenergy.
* **Mitigation Strategies:**
* The government is increasing the share of natural gas, biofuels, green hydrogen, and renewable energy in the energy mix.
* Specific actions include increasing ethanol blending in petrol, biodiesel blending in diesel, setting up compressed biogas plants under SATAT, developing green hydrogen production capacity of at least 5 MMT per annum, and installing Alternate FuelStations (EV charging).
* These actions aim to enhance self-reliance and reduce risks related to global price volatility and supply disruptions.
**Impact Analysis**
**Stakeholder: Government**
* **Impact:** The government must continue to monitor and manage oil and gas reserves and implement strategies to diversify the energy mix and reduce dependence on fossil fuels.
* **Action Required:** Continue investments in renewable energy, promote alternative fuels, and implement policies to support the transition to a sustainable energy future.
**Stakeholder: Citizens/Consumers**
* **Impact:** Citizens will be affected by changes in fuel availability, prices, and the adoption of alternative energy sources.
* **Action Required:** Prepare for changes in transportation and energy infrastructure, adapt to new fuel options, and potentially invest in renewable energy solutions.
**Stakeholder: Energy Sector Companies**
* **Impact:** Energy companies, including those involved in oil, gas, and renewable energy, will need to adapt to changing market dynamics and regulatory requirements.
* **Action Required:** Invest in renewable energy infrastructure, develop new technologies, and align business strategies with government policies to support a sustainable energy transition.
Key Entities Referenced
Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas: The primary subject of the document, as it answers a question posed to the Minister.
PRMS (Petroleum Reserve Management System): A globally adopted practice used to estimate crude oil and natural gas reserves.
SATAT (Sustainable Alternative Towards Affordable Transportation): A scheme for setting up compressed biogas plants.
Directorate General of Hydrocarbons: Informs about reserve status of Oil & Gas in the country
LOK SABHA
UNSTARRED QUESTION NO. 1138
TO BE ANSWERED ON 05/02/2026
Exhaustion of Fossil Fuels
1138. Dr. D Ravi Kumar:
पे(cid:367)ोिलयम और (cid:255)ाकृितक गसै म(cid:253)ं ी
Will the Minister of PETROLEUM AND NATURAL GAS be pleased to state: -
(a) whether the Government has conducted any study or assessment regarding the estimated year by
which fossil fuels such as petrol, diesel and natural gas are likely to be exhausted in the country, if so,
the details thereof along with the findings of such study, fuel-wise;
(b) whether the Government is aware of the potential economic and energy security implications
arising from the depletion of these fossil fuels, if so, the details thereof; and
(c) whether the Government has formulated or proposes to formulate any alternative strategies or
policies to manage or mitigate the exhaustion of fossil fuels, if so, the details thereof?
ANSWER
पे(cid:367)ोिलयम और (cid:255)ाकृितक गैस मं(cid:253)ालय म(cid:164) रा(cid:186)यमं(cid:253)ी
((cid:174)ी सुरेश गोपी)
MINISTER OF STATE IN THE MINISTRY OF PETROLEUM AND NATURAL GAS
(SHRI SURESH GOPI)
(a) to (c): Directorate General of Hydrocarbons has informed that reserve status of Oil & Gas in the
country is calculated as per PRMS (Petroleum Reserve Management System), a globally adopted
practice, to estimate the crude oil and natural gas reserves every year. Based on the PRMS status as on
01st April, 2025, the Reserve/Production ratio (R/P ratio) of Country for Crude Oil and Natural Gas
are approximately 15 and 17 years respectively. The R/P ratio is a method used to assess the size of
reserves. Its value represents the number of years that current reserves would last if their rate of use
did not change. Hydrocarbon exploration is a dynamic process and additional volumes of Oil and Gas
are continuously accreted based on new discoveries/reserve accretion leading to change in R/P values.
Hence, the above R/P values are indicative only.
Government is aware of the economic and energy security issues that may arise due to the gradual
phaseout of fossil fuels such as high initial investments in renewable energy, shifting to domestic
renewable sources like solar, wind, and bioenergy.
Government is taking concerted efforts to increase share of natural gas, biofuels, green hydrogen and
renewable energy in the energy mix. This inter-alia, includes increasing share of natural gas in primary
energy mix; increasing ethanol blending in petrol, blending of biodiesel in diesel; setting up
compressed biogas plants under Sustainable Alternative Towards Affordable Transportation
(SATAT); developing green hydrogen production capacity of at least 5 MMT (Million Metric Tonne)
per annum and installation of Alternate FuelStations (EV charging). This will enhance self- reliance
and reduce risks related to global price volatility and supply disruptions.
******